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Paul George

Paul George Assists
Player Prop - 1/1/2024

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paul George has totaled 4.4 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's best by this metric in recent days: 86th percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Paul George ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 17 games when playing at home.

The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Paul George should see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paul George has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (94th percentile).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Clippers.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 10thworst in in the league while at home with only 10.1 offensive boards per game this year.

More Paul George Player Props

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