Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has tallied 4.5 assists per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Among all players in the league, Paul George measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 34.0 minutes per game while at home this year.
Paul George is expected to see a spike in output across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Paul George registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.8 fouls per game at home this year.
The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Clippers.
The LA Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Hornets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 4thworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has come down with 16.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Hornets (saving possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).

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