Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs LA Clippers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has compiled 5.0 assists per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's compiled overall this year.
Paul George has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to raise plays for the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 7thbest in in the league as the away team with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Paul George has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The 4th-most sluggish pace road offense in the league this year has been the Clippers.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Paul George stands to see a decline in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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