Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

Utah Jazz vs LA Clippers · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-230/+170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.1 minutes per game on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 7thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Paul George has averaged a mere 3.7 assists per game this year, significantly lower than his 5.3 assists per game last year.
Paul George has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (87th percentile).
The Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Jazz).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has come down with 10.9 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (continuing possessions that can generate extra opportunities for offense).

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