Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 3:48 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has tallied an impressive 4.9 assists per game this season, quite a bit more than his 4.9 assists per game last season.
Paul George has played 34.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paul George stands to see an increase in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Paul George ranks in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Clippers.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 9thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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