Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 3:42 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has tallied a whopping 5.0 assists per game this season, significantly more than his 4.9 assists per game last season.
Paul George has tallied 34.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The 4th-fastest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the LA Clippers.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the LA Clippers.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have snagged 10.1 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (losing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Paul George has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The LA Clippers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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