Paul George Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Paul George

NBA · Player Props

Paul George

F · LA Clippers

Assists

LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

Paul George Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paul George has put up 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put up overall this year.
Paul George has played 33.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Clippers.
Paul George will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Paul George has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.
The LA Clippers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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