Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Patrick Williams

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:30 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has successfully made 37.6% of his shots from downtown since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a positive matchup.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Chicago Bulls.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Chicago Bulls grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Patrick Williams rates in the 18th percentile for shooting effectiveness without the home court advantage with a lackluster 29.8% rate this year.
When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Bulls.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks have the home court advantage (3rd-least in the league).
Patrick Williams will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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