Patrick Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Williams

F · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Williams has made 48.8% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.1% more than he's converted overall this year.
Patrick Williams has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home.
The Bulls rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have brought down 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).
Patrick Williams has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

Favors Under

The Bulls rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have totaled 125.6 points per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the 8th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors).
This matchup is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, opposing squads have attempted a colossal 29.2 free throws per game this year (most in the league).