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Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 38.5% rate, Patrick Williams's 3-point performance has surged this season to 45.0%.

Patrick Williams has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 more than he's played overall this season.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have averaged 41.9% on three-pointers (27th-highest in the league) against the Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup.

The Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Patrick Williams has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 3.2 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

Patrick Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces player performance across the board.

More Patrick Williams Player Props

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