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Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Patrick Williams has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 8.1 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls rank 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, opposing squads have brought down 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more chances for offense).

Patrick Williams will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 49.4% clip, Patrick Williams's field goal proficiency has been reduced this season to 33.4%.

With respect to offense, the Bulls's feeble 109.3 points per game while at home ranks 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Denver is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 11th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.6).

The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Bulls.

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