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Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Patrick Williams has sunk 40.5% of his shots from downtown when playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Out of all players in the league, Patrick Williams comes in at the 89th percentile for free-throw efficiency at home with a a very good 87.2% rate since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team has attempted 22.2 free throws per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

The Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-slowest pace away offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Patrick Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance across the board.

More Patrick Williams Player Props

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