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Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls

Patrick Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Patrick Williams has made 40.7% of his 3-point attempts while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Bulls check in as the 5th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA away from their home court since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have notched 19.0 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive output.

When playing on the road, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing squads since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the league, Patrick Williams places in the 90th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a a superb 87.2% rate since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Bulls.

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Patrick Williams is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

More Patrick Williams Player Props

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