Patrick Beverley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Patrick Beverley

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Beverley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-132).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Beverley has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
With respect to shooting, the Bucks's remarkable 118.7 points per game comes in as the 4th-best in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Patrick Beverley has sunk 96.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 12.3% more than he's made in all games this year.
The matchup against Indiana may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers are at home (7th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Patrick Beverley has successfully made 38.6% of his field goal attempts when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Patrick Beverley has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).