Patrick Baldwin Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Patrick Baldwin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

F · Washington Wizards

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. is expected to get a boost in efficiency for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has posted 0.2 offensive boards per game while at home this year, putting him in the 16th percentile -- one of the worst in the NBA by this metric.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has been on the court for 8.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 13th percentile.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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