Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Patrick Baldwin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 5:04 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has sunk 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has been on the court for an impressive 12.4 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.0 minutes per game last year.
The Wizards check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics have the home court advantage (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Patrick Baldwin Jr. measures in the 8th percentile for scoring proficiency with a feeble 34.4% rate this year.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
This year, opposing starting PFs have registered 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, creating a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Wizards.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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