Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Patrick Baldwin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has attempted 5.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
The Washington Wizards have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has made 16.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 11.2% lower than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has been on the court for 11.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 23rd percentile.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 11.5 shot attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, creating a tough matchup.
The Washington Wizards are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).

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