Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Patrick Baldwin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has attempted 3.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
With respect to offense, the Wizards's stellar 113.6 points per game comes in as the 10th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Patrick Baldwin Jr. registers in the 6th percentile for shooting prowess with a poor 33.0% rate this year.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have scored 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive productivity.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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