Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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Patrick Baldwin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Washington Wizards · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-112/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has attempted 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing away from home.
The matchup against the Bulls may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.9 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Patrick Baldwin Jr. slots into the 20th percentile for playing time, averaging only 10.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 11.5 field goal attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Wizards.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 5thworst in in the league with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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