Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Patrick Baldwin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 11:06 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 28.3% rate, Patrick Baldwin Jr.'s scoring proficiency has spiked this season to 35.4%.
Out of all players in the league, Patrick Baldwin Jr. rates in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a mere 1.0 fouls per game this year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Washington Wizards.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Patrick Baldwin Jr. comes in at the 15th percentile for playing time, compiling just 9.3 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have put up the lowest three rate in the NBA this year (21.7%).
The Wizards check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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