Patrick Baldwin Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Patrick Baldwin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

F · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has attempted 3.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court over the last 15 games has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has converted 26.9% of his three-point shots this year, putting him in the 24th percentile among all players in the league.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 3.6 three attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a hard matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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