Patrick Baldwin Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Patrick Baldwin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Wizards have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has averaged 0.6 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile -- one of the worst in the NBA by this metric.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has been on the court for 11.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the league: 23rd percentile.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards rank 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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