Patrick Baldwin Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Patrick Baldwin Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Patrick Baldwin Jr.

F · Washington Wizards

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Wizards have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 8th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

Patrick Baldwin Jr. has totaled 0.6 assists per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this standard: 22nd percentile.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Patrick Baldwin Jr. stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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