Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Bucks.
Pat Connaughton should get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Pat Connaughton has averaged just 2.6 defensive boards per game this year, significantly lower than his 3.8 defensive boards per game last year.
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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