Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 15, 2024

Updated Feb 16, 2024 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has averaged 4.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Pat Connaughton has been on the court for 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
While on their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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