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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has averaged 4.6 rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's averaged overall this season.

The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.

This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Pat Connaughton will likely see an increase in production in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).

The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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