Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 1:47 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
The Bucks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce extra opportunities for offense).
Pat Connaughton ought to see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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