Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.
Pat Connaughton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 11.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (maintaining possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

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