Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 11:28 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has averaged 5.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
Pat Connaughton has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.7 more than he's played overall this year on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton ranks in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a lowly 1.0 fouls per game away from home this year.
The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production across the board.

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