Pat Connaughton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.
The Magic have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year, opposing squads have snagged 7.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Pat Connaughton has put up a lowly 1.6 defensive boards per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 3.8 defensive boards per game last season.
Pat Connaughton has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (81st percentile).
The Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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