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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Pat Connaughton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+155/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Pat Connaughton has put up 4.0 defensive rebounds per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.
  • Pat Connaughton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player performance across the board.

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