Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has made 55.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 6.9% more than he's made over the course of the season while at home.
The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.
The 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Bucks.
Pat Connaughton has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 22.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Pat Connaughton should get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 7th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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