Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 39.3% clip, Pat Connaughton's shooting proficiency has risen this year to 47.2%.
Pat Connaughton has averaged 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
In regard to offense, the Bucks's fantastic 120.7 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the NBA this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
Pat Connaughton has made 89.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 11.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce possessions for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Pat Connaughton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower player production for all stats.

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