Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has made 47.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 8.9% higher than he's converted from three overall this year with the home court advantage.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Bucks.
Pat Connaughton has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 9.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season while playing at home.
As a team, the Bucks have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line: best in the NBA this year, tallying 25.3 foul shots per game.
Pat Connaughton will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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