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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has sunk 54.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 6.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have snagged 8.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 26.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team has attempted a measly 21.4 free throws per game when the Bulls are playing at home this year (8th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing teams have averaged 39.5 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, labeling this as a positive matchup.

The 7th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

The Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

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