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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.

This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Pat Connaughton has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while at home.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line: 2nd-best in the league this year, tallying 25.9 free throw attempts per game.

This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have attempted 20.1 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).

The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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