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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In regard to offense, the Bucks's remarkable 126.5 points per game while on their home court places highest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
  • This year, their opposition has tallied 11.4 3-pointers per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, creating a challenging matchup.
  • The 3rd-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.
  • Pat Connaughton figures to see a spike in production across the board in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Pat Connaughton has attempted a measly 4.2 shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 6.9 rate last year.
  • Relative to last season's 5.3 clip, Pat Connaughton's three-point attempts have tailed off this season to 3.0 per game.
  • The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).
  • The Bucks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Nuggets have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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