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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has made 45.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 8.5% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.6 3-pointers per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a favorable matchup.

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bucks.

While playing away from home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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