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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has converted 55.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 9.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Pat Connaughton has made 45.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.

In terms of shooting, the Milwaukee Bucks's terrific 121.5 points per game away from their home court rates most in the league this year.

This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 1.9 three-pointers per game (21st-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a strong matchup.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

With the home court advantage, the Phoenix Suns have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Suns may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the NBA).

Pat Connaughton will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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