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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has made 48.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 11.2% more than he's made from three over the course of the season.

The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

While at home, the Trail Blazers have given up the least offensive boards per game (7.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 22.7% higher than he's converted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have registered 120.3 points per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.

The Milwaukee Bucks will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA away from home with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 25.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (6th-most in the league).

Pat Connaughton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production across the board.

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