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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 47.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.4% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.

This year, the other team has averaged 11.3 three-pointers per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a hard matchup.

The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 25.0% more than he's made overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have attempted 24.8 free throws per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Pat Connaughton ought to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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