Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-123/-104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 49.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 13.2% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has attempted 27.8 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

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