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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-132).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has sunk 57.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's converted overall this season.

The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league as the road team this year.

The 2nd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% more than he's made in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 20 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have shot 46.0% on field goal attempts (8th-best in the league) against the Cavaliers, making this a strong matchup.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the league while playing on the road with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are at home, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 22.2 free throws per game over the last 22 games (4th-most in the NBA).

Pat Connaughton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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