Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has made 56.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 22.2% more than he's made from three in all games this year.
With respect to scoring, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 127.1 points per game places best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
When playing away from home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 20.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season while at home.

Favors Under

Pat Connaughton has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
Over the last 5 games, the other team has averaged 128.8 points per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The Bucks are expected to see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
The Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted 28.4 free throws per game (most in the league) vs. the Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.