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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Pat Connaughton rates in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a measly 1.2 fouls per game this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

This matchup is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on their home court, their opposition has tallied the 7th-fewest three attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (33.3).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Pat Connaughton has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's made overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has failed to make 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's missed from downtown in all games this year.

The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

While at home, the Cavaliers have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are playing at home, opposing squads have attempted a colossal 26.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

More Pat Connaughton Player Props

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