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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton ranks in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling just 1.2 fouls per game this year.

The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This year when they are away from home, their opposition has shot 45.0% on field goal attempts (6th-weakest in the league) vs. the Nets, branding this as a hard matchup.

The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.

Pat Connaughton has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 25.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has failed to convert 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's missed from downtown over the course of the season.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nets).

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Nets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton ought to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

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