Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 5:45 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has made 43.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.1% higher than he's converted overall this season without the home court advantage.
Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton ranks in the 20th percentile for personal fouls, compiling only 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.
The New York Knicks have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have totaled 37.1 3-point attempts per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, marking this as a good matchup.
Pat Connaughton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

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