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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

This year, opposing squads have averaged 30.2 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Pistons, creating a challenging matchup.

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.

The Pistons have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase plays for the Bucks.

Pat Connaughton will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons (preserving possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).

This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted a massive 26.8 free throws per game over the last 25 games (most in the league).

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