Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to scoring, the Bucks's exceptional 120.5 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the league this year.
This matchup is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Washington Wizards are the visiting squad, opposing teams have averaged the 8th-fewest three attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.0).
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Washington Wizards).
Compared to last year's 70.0% rate, Pat Connaughton's free-throw efficiency has increased this year to 100.0%.

Favors Under

Pat Connaughton has attempted a mere 3.4 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 5.3 rate last year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the league with just 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have brought down 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (saving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

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