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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.7 more than he's played overall this year on the road.

Out of all players in the league, Pat Connaughton ranks in the 17th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a lowly 1.0 fouls per game away from home this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.

The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 5.3 mark, Pat Connaughton's 3-point attempts have regressed this year to 3.5 per game.

This year, opposing teams have averaged 37.5 three attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, creating a good matchup.

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.

The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pat Connaughton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production across the board.

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